Volta Redonda vs. Avaí: The Data Behind the Deadlock

Team Profiles: Contrasting Ambitions

Volta Redonda (founded 1976) embodies Rio de Janeiro’s gritty football culture—a mid-table Serie B side known for their compact defense. Avaí (1923), hailing from Florianópolis, carries top-flight experience but struggles with consistency this season (11th place).

Match Highlights: Frustration for Both Sides

The June 17th encounter saw:

• 22’: Volta’s counterattack goal via RB Pedro Castro
• 67’: Avaí’s equalizer from striker Lucas Silva (his 5th of the season)
• xG: 1.2 vs. 1.1 – a razor-thin margin per Opta data

Tactical Analysis

Volta’s Strengths:

• 4-4-2 mid-block limited Avaí to 38% final-third possession
• Goalkeeper Marcelo made 5 saves (83% success rate)

Avaí’s Missed Opportunities:

• Overloaded left flank created 8 crosses (only 2 accurate)
• Substitution dilemmas: Coach Eduardo Barros waited until the 78th minute for changes

What’s Next?

With both teams now winless in three matches, our predictive model gives:

• Volta a 42% chance of top-8 finish
• Avaí just 28% promotion probability unless midfield creativity improves

Fun fact: This was the fourth consecutive H2H draw—statistical anomaly or tactical mirroring? Discuss @EmmaAnalytics.