Brazilian Serie B Round 12: The Data Never Lies

As a numbers guy who cut his teeth analyzing NBA stats, I can’t help but appreciate the chaotic beauty of Brazil’s Serie B. This 20-team second division (founded in 1971) consistently delivers more drama than a telenovela - and Round 12 was no exception.

The Stalemate Specialists

Volta Redonda seems determined to set a league record for draws after their 1-1 result against Avaí (June 17) and another 1-0 win against Ferroviária (June 29). Their xG (expected goals) stats suggest they’re neither lucky nor unlucky - just terminally average. Meanwhile, Avaí followed up that draw with a disappointing 1-2 loss to Paraná, proving that consistency isn’t always a virtue.

Single-Goal Symphony

Five matches were decided by one goal, including Botafogo-SP’s 1-0 victory over Chapecoense (June 20). My tactical analysis shows this wasn’t football artistry - just two mid-table teams trading hopeful long balls until someone screwed up defensively. Speaking of slim margins, Amazon FC edged Vila Nova 2-1 (June 22) in what our possession metrics reveal was essentially a coin flip disguised as a football match.

The Late Show Specialists

Note to self: don’t schedule early morning meetings after midnight kickoffs like Goiás vs Atlético Mineiro (June 24). These teams delivered a fittingly dramatic 1-2 conclusion at 2 AM local time, with the visitors showing remarkable composure despite the absurd hour. The data shows Atlético created higher quality chances despite having less possession - textbook counterattacking efficiency.

What’s Next?

With several teams clustered within 3 points of playoff positions, upcoming fixtures take on extra significance. Can Paraná build on their win against Avaí when they face struggling Remo? Will Volta Redonda finally win two in a row? As your resident stats nerd, I’ll be tracking every unexpected turn in this beautifully unpredictable league.